Political Risk Intelligence

Sovereign risk,
decoded in
real time.

Eventide replaces $500K analyst retainers with a continuous AI signal layer—sovereign risk scoring, sanctions impact modelling, and political event forecasting for the institutions that can't afford to be wrong.

Live monitoring active
142 sovereigns tracked
142+
Sovereigns Tracked
24h
Signal Latency
93%
Forecast Accuracy
⚠ RISK ELEVATED — Venezuela sovereign score: 8.4 / 10 ● WATCH — Bangladesh election probability window: Q3 2025 ✓ STABLE — Singapore risk index: 1.2 / 10 ⚠ SANCTIONS — New OFAC designations: 14 entities ● WATCH — Nigeria FX controls signal: moderate escalation ✓ UPDATE — EU-Turkey accession talks: low probability scenario ⚠ RISK ELEVATED — Myanmar military escalation index: 7.8 ● WATCH — Saudi Aramco divestment probability model updated ⚠ RISK ELEVATED — Venezuela sovereign score: 8.4 / 10 ● WATCH — Bangladesh election probability window: Q3 2025 ✓ STABLE — Singapore risk index: 1.2 / 10 ⚠ SANCTIONS — New OFAC designations: 14 entities ● WATCH — Nigeria FX controls signal: moderate escalation ✓ UPDATE — EU-Turkey accession talks: low probability scenario ⚠ RISK ELEVATED — Myanmar military escalation index: 7.8 ● WATCH — Saudi Aramco divestment probability model updated

The intelligence
gap is costly.

"Consultancies charge $500,000 a year for reports written by analysts reading news manually."
— The current state of political risk intelligence
01

Static, delayed reports

Traditional political risk reports arrive weekly or monthly. By the time a PDF lands in your inbox, the market has already priced in the event — or worse, you've already committed capital.

02

Analyst bottlenecks

Human analysts can monitor a handful of markets with depth. With 195 sovereign states, critical signals slip through. Scale doesn't exist at $500K/year retainer fees.

03

No portfolio integration

Geopolitical intelligence lives in PDFs. Your investment exposure lives in spreadsheets. The gap between them is where sovereign risk events destroy portfolios.

04

Sanctions lag

Sanctions regimes change faster than compliance teams can track. The financial and reputational cost of a single violation dwarfs the cost of proper monitoring infrastructure.

Three intelligence
modules. One verdict.

Eventide ingests structured and unstructured signals across 142 sovereign jurisdictions — parliamentary proceedings, central bank statements, protest activity indices, sanctions registers, and social media velocity — and synthesises them into actionable risk verdicts, continuously.

Module 02

Sanctions Impact Modelling

Map your investment portfolio exposure against active and emerging sanctions regimes. Model cascading impacts across counterparty networks before compliance flags the exposure.

Module 03

Political Event Forecasting

Probabilistic forecasts for elections, regime transitions, protest escalation, and policy inflection points. Calibrated confidence intervals, not narratives. Designed for decision-makers.

The signal never
stops arriving.

A sample of what Eventide surfaces continuously — events your analyst retainer would have caught next Thursday.

TUR Central bank intervention signal: lira volatility exceeds 2σ threshold, institutional pressure rising 8.1 risk
COL Oil sector labor dispute probability elevated; extraction output model revised downward 12% 5.4 risk
KSA Vision 2030 procurement signals: tech FDI window open, low near-term political disruption 2.1 risk
ETH Tigray ceasefire stability index declining; bond exposure review recommended 7.6 risk
IND State election cycle: regulatory environment stable, infrastructure investment window positive 1.8 risk
ARG IMF programme compliance signals mixed; sovereign default probability 6-month horizon: 34% 6.9 risk
Sovereign risk index — selected markets
Venezuela 8.4 / 10
Nigeria 6.2 / 10
Indonesia 3.1 / 10
Brazil 4.8 / 10
Germany 1.4 / 10
Upcoming event windows
Nigeria presidential signals — 90 days
Argentina IMF review — 45 days
Turkey rate decision — 18 days
Kazakhstan parliamentary cycle — 60 days

A fraction of the
retainer. All of the intelligence.

Boutique consultancies charge $500,000 per year for quarterly reports. Eventide delivers continuous, machine-speed intelligence at institutional grade—without the analyst overhead.

Analyst
$12K
per year
  • 20 sovereign markets
  • Daily risk score digest
  • Sanctions watchlist monitoring
  • Weekly intelligence brief
  • API access (read-only)
Request Access
Institutional
$48K
per year
  • Full 142-sovereign coverage
  • Real-time signal stream
  • Portfolio exposure modelling
  • Custom event probability forecasts
  • Full API + webhook integration
  • Dedicated analyst on-call
Most Popular
vs. $500K consultancy retainer
Enterprise
Custom
negotiated
  • White-label intelligence layer
  • Custom model fine-tuning
  • Sovereign co-investment advisory
  • Multilateral integration support
  • Dedicated deployment environment
Contact Us
HS
Harshit Sharma
Founder & CEO, Eventide

Harshit Sharma

Founder & CEO

Harshit built Eventide from a conviction formed at the intersection of finance and geopolitics: that the institutions most exposed to sovereign risk are the ones least equipped to monitor it continuously.

Having worked across emerging market investment and political analysis, he saw firsthand how the intelligence gap between what consultancies deliver and what decision-makers actually need had not meaningfully narrowed — only grown more expensive.

"Political risk isn't a quarterly report. It's a continuous signal. We built the infrastructure to hear it."

Background in emerging markets investment and political economy, with a focus on frontier sovereign credit and geopolitical scenario modelling.

Designed Eventide's core signal architecture — combining NLP-driven news parsing, structured political data feeds, and probabilistic risk models into a unified sovereign intelligence layer.

Thesis: the $5B political risk consulting industry is structurally broken. Manual analyst workflows can't scale to the speed at which geopolitical events move markets.

Early Access

The next regime change
won't wait for your next report.

Join the waitlist for institutional access. First cohort onboarding Q3 2025.

No commitment required — institutional inquiries welcome